I’m not sure if this is significant or just a downward blip. Either way, the 42 percent approval rating – President Obama’s lowest since taking office – is newsworthy. This is a CNN/Opinion Research Poll, and just three weeks ago the president was at 50 percent. How significant is this?
The president’s sagging poll numbers couldn’t come at a worse time for congressional Democrats, themselves facing a nine-point deficit in the so-called “generic ballot” question heading into the midterm elections. In fact, the president’s approval rating is the same as that of President Clinton’s in 1994 – the midterm election year that saw Republicans wrest control of both the House and Senate.
In even worse news for congressional Democrats, likely voters say they are considerably more likely to vote for a candidate the president opposes than one he supports. On the other hand, 50 percent of voters said they would be more likely to vote for a Tea Party-backed candidate while a third of Americans said Tea Party support would dissuade their vote for a candidate.
With nothing super-significant happening within the halls of Congress the past couple of weeks, you would think the quiet would stabilize or improve the approval rating for the president. I know there has been a few things going on … don’t ask don’t tell, the DISCLOSE Act and the DREAM Act, but we’re not talking Cap and Trade or health care legislation.
Maybe all of the political ads are stirring up the pot on their own, reminding people they need to start getting involved since the mid-term election is 39 days away (wow!)?
Ed Morrissey at Hot Air calls it downright gruesome, and points to a comment at Ace of Spades noting this is a poll not just of likely, registered voters – rather the general population.
As Ace points out, this isn’t even among registered or likely voters, both of whom one would think are more politically attuned and therefore angrier right now than the general population. This is among adults.
Hang on here guys, as I quickly review prior to publishing, I swear I did not see the last sentence in the second CNN story linked above, but now I see it. Ace got his information from our friend Jim Geraghty at National Review, but here it is, with my emphasis in bold.
There is a 4.5 percent margin of error for the 506 likely voters questioned in the poll.
Most polls currently have Obama at an approval rating of less than 50 percent; recently between 44 and 49 percent.