For the last few days, there has been quiet discussions concerning a shift in the U.S. House of Representatives, so significant that Republicans could take back control one year from now. Personally, I think it is a long shot, but I guessed wrong (Jim was correct) on Scott Brown’s win in Massachusetts.
The two Web sites with the information include the Cook Political Report (subscription required) and fivethirtyeight.com. Ed Morrissey provided analysis yesterday, and I’ve noticed fivethirtyeight.com has gotten a bit more into statistical analysis, which is kind of interesting if you are really into “inside baseball” stuff.
So what’s the trend? I’m not a big fan of the way writers at 538 present their information, so I generally do not read their stuff, but I did find this list in the Cook Report’s Web site kind of interesting. Take it for what it’s worth, it’s a LONG way to November.
These ratings are from the last 11 days or so, and note in every case – except for the Connecticut’s Senate, and Arizona’s 3rd seats – Democrats are loosing ground. Trend?
Hummm… Sean Trende at Real Clear Politics wonders if the Senate is also within reach for the GOP.