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New Jersey governor beats Obama in head-to-head approval polls

I found this interesting, even though we’re talking quite a different demographic when comparing New Jersey to all of the United States.
In the Garden State, Gov. Chris Christie’s (R-N.J.) job approval rating is 51 percent, with 36 percent – including probably 99.9 percent of teachers – disapproving. How does that compare to President Obama?

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Rasmussen vs. Quinnipiac – Blumenthal vs. McMahon

Hold on here a second. Will someone in the media please take a look at the polling methodology between the Quinnipiac and Rasmussen polls concerning the US Senate race in Connecticut? Why are the results so different?

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Connecticut says no to Obamacare … yes to Blumenthal

Not surprising. Either one. But at least it tells me a little of that “ye ole yankee spirit” lives in this deep blue state. But I’m still not sure how you can rate Obama so poorly on healthcare and the economy and send another professional Democrat back to Washington. Read more

Connecticut not backing Democrat health care legislation

From a poll released yesterday by the Yankee Institute in Hartford, we find Connecticut likely registered voters oppose current legislation in the House and Senate to reform health care by a margin of 51 percent to 34 percent. I thought Sen. Chris Dodd (D-Conn.) was telling us Connecticut voters wanted this legislation?

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Toast? Dodd trails by 11

It’s just one poll, it’s still a year away, but the time is running shorter and the poll is running in the wrong direction for the senior Senator from Connecticut.

Former Connecticut Congressman Rob Simmons has an early lead in the Republican primary race for the 2010 U.S. Senate contest and runs better than any other challenger against Sen. Christopher Dodd, topping the Democratic incumbent 49 – 38 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

I have a friend in the politics biz who says when an incumbant is below 45 he’s in trouble, when it’s below 40, he’s toast. I don’t think the Senator is toast … but he better get out of the toaster fast or he will be.

Ed Morrissey at Hot Air wonders how the Senator could be so far behind in a blue state like Connecticut.

How is Dodd doing so poorly in the blue, blue state of Connecticut?  He’s losing both men and women, for one thing, and even 15% of Democrats would vote for Simmons in a general election; only 68% of Democrats would commit to voting for Dodd, with the rest undecided.  The biggest problem, as it is for Democrats all over the country, is the flight of independents.  Simmons wins among independent voters by a whopping 2-1 margin, 57%-29%.

Ed’s correct. It is about independents. But it goes much deeper than a poll identification. Connecticans have deep roots in colonial values. It is indeed a wealthy and compassionate state, which accounts for the high incidence of limo liberals, and its blue collar workers are generally union workers. Thus the blue.

But there is a strong and growing cadre in this state, Democrats, Republicans and independents who value those colonial values more than party, especially when those values are threatened or so overtly trampled by lip serving politicians who take advantage of their position of power to enrich themselves or pay back their cronies, even as they struggle to stay afloat.

Dodd tried to stop Fannie Mae reform, he was at the helm of the ship when the Fannie Mae crisis hit, he received VIP treatment from a bank that he helped oversee, he consistently undervalued his “third” home located in Ireland, he authored a provison in the stimulus that allowed for AIG bonuses (which I do not mind) and then lied about it.

Any one of those folks in Connecticut would forgive. Shameful, but true. But together, it’s the kind of “in your face” politics that most New Englanders won’t let slide. A little corruption people seem to accept these days as the price of admission. But for Dodd, the hits just keep on coming.

Come to think of it, he’s toast.

Take our poll.

Connecticut to Dodd …. we don’t hate you, we just won’t vote for you

The latest Quinnipiac Poll numbers came out today and they show Dodd falling farther behind Rob Simmons in a head to head match up …. but … his negatives aren’t as negative.

Connecticut Sen. Christopher Dodd trails former U.S. Rep. Rob Simmons, a likely Republican challenger 48 – 39 percent in the 2010 Senate race, but he is inching up in his job approval to a negative 42 – 52 percent approval rating, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

How to explain the discrepancy? Just read a little further into the poll and we find …

Looking at Dodd’s characteristics, Connecticut voters say:

  • 55 – 35 percent that he is not honest and trustworthy;
  • 62 – 32 percent that he has strong leadership qualities;
  • 49 – 45 percent that he does not share their views on issues important to them.

Imagine that. Connecticut voters don’t think Dodd is honest. What would give them that idea? This? Or maybe this?

Quinipiac offers this analysis:

“Sen. Dodd’s numbers among Democrats are back to where they used to be with over 70 percent of Democrats approving of his job performance and backing his reelection bid. Perhaps Dodd’s visibility in helping with President Barack Obama’s agenda has brought some wavering Democrats home. But he still is struggling with Independents, who will be harder to win back than his own partisans.”

I am also petty sure the job approval number is soft. Once Connecticut voters catch on to the fact that it’s his health care plan, not Obama’s, that will limit their choice, lead to rationing and cost them more in the long run … I guess those numbers could very well turn back down.  But then … this is a blue state.