After trashing Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) for months, Senate Democrats who happen to be up for election in November 2014 are starting to openly call for an extension for open enrollment due to the Obamacare registration problems.
Some Early Voting Result Tally – At this Point the Presidency is up for Grabs
The question is how will the independents vote come election day? Several factors are at play here. Romney was right to use the question, “Are you better off now than you were four years ago?”
With unemployment levels at where they are, and lets make this clear, the Media Reports on the U3 Number ONLY which for September was 7.8%. the U6 number which is the TRUE unemployment number stood at 14.7%.
We have in this country 23-24 million Americans out of work, who want to work but can’t find a job.
We have a President that has decimated the coal and oil industries in favor of green energy failures such as Solyndra, and bailing out GM. He advocated stimulus funds that were to create jobs but didn’t. And, we have a situation in Lybia over 4 dead Americans where serious questions need to be answered. And then, of course, we have ObamaCare and Fast and Furious.
Taking an educated guess my belief is that the interdependent voter will take a look around and say, my food, gas, home heating and energy costs are higher than they were 4 years ago and I am still unemployed and will vote for Romney.
Take an animal that is trapped in a corner that is being chased down by a predator. Does that animal run towards what is going to catch him and eat him alive or does it run in the opposite direction towards freedom. The prey is going to move in the opposite direction. Therefore a person who sees his or her situation getting worse, in my opinion, will tend to vote for Romney.
Those Independents who are doing okay, have a job and tend to vote more democratic I think may just vote for Obama, The question than becomes which group of Independents out number the other group. That I think is the key to winning the election.
Here are some interesting statistics on early voting:
Total Number of Votes Caste: 965,510
Break Down: Democratic 35.6%, Republican 38.4%, None/Other 26.0%
In 2008, registered Democrats outnumbered Republicans by a 1.8 percentage point margin and Obama won the state by 8.9 percentage points.
In 2012, the 2.5 percentage point advantage for registered Republicans indicates the state will be more closely contested than ’08.
Total Number of Votes Cast: 2,223,840
Breakdown: Democratic 42.4%, Republican 41.0%, None/Other 16.6%
Republicans usually win mail-in early ballots by a wide margin in Florida — 12 points or higher — according to Michael McDonald, who oversees the United States Election Project at George Mason University. Democrats have closed the gap with early voting.
Total Votes Cast: 497,725
Breakdown: Democratic 44.2%, Republican 32.1%, None/Other 23.7%
Analysis: Romney has slightly narrowed the strong lead the Democrats built — 18 percentage points — in 2008 early Iowa voting. But Obama went on to win the state by 9.5 percentage points in ’08, meaning Romney will still need very strong Election Day
Total Votes Cast: 432,748
Breakdown: Democratic 45.2%, Republican 37.0%, None/Other 17.8%
Analysis: According to McDonald, Nevada’s 2012 early electorate closely resembles the state’s 2008 electorate. Obama won the state by 12.2 percentage points in 2008, and early indications are that Obama will win in Nevada again in 2012.
Total Votes Cast: 1,700,128
Breakdown: Democratic 49.2%, Republican 31.2%, None/Other 19.6%
Analysis: At this point in 2008, Democrats had a crushing lead among early voters — 55.9 percent to 27.2 percent — and Obama only narrowly won the state by 0.3 percentage points. Romney has closed that gap enough that the latest data indicate a small lead for him in the state.
Total Votes Cast: 1,006,398
Breakdown: State does not do party registration.
Analysis: Most urban, Democratic-leaning counties are on pace to exceed 2008 early-voting levels. But so are Republican-leaning rural counties. This indicates that Ohio will be a tightly contested race, as predicted.
Total Votes Cast: 254,074
Party Registration Breakdown: State does not do party registration.
Analysis: Early 2012 voting in Virginia has skewed heavily toward females and the 60-plus demographic. Unlike 2008, the state is allowing in-person early voting in addition to early ballots by mail, meaning early-vote totals will likely exceed ’08’s total of 336,743.
Total Votes Cast: 101,253 (in-person only)
Party Registration Breakdown: State does not do party registration.
Analysis: Wisconsin does not have comparable statistics from 2008, so little can be determined about which way the state is leaning in 2012 as compared to the 2008 election.
I wasn’t going to post this but for me, it was the best part of Mayor Bill Finch’s press conference. A big deal was made by the Democrats about extending poll hours … so everyone who wanted to vote could, and every vote counted. So much so they went to court armed with two affidavits (yes two) to make sure they stayed open. Ostensibly, people were denied the right to vote because of a lack of ballots. Well that was then, this is now. Read more
Instapundit, Hot Air, and others have pointed out the juicy irony that Jon Stewart invited Cat Stevens, aka, Yusuf Islam to the “Restore Sanity” rally. If you’re not familiar with Islam, you can read all about it here. But what struck me most about the “Sanity” rally wasn’t the man who approved of a Fatwa on Salman Rushdie, he can’t vote. No, it was the the college students that screamed “doomed” in my ear … Read more
With the last update from the NBC Political Unit prior to election day, every change analysts have made concerning House of Representatives elections have shifted in favor of the Republican. This in no way means Republicans are favored in the race, but is a clear indication of momentum for Republicans.
… to find gambling in this establishment, or so says Captain Rene from Casablanca.
It has been said, in a less political correct era, that California is like a bowl of granola. Looking at some of their past political leaders, the old line about nuts and flakes comes into its own. Read more
The interactive map – coded by Google using their maps API – displays data from multiple polling outfits and allows users to quickly dig down to specific races and check out current status. As an example, you can find out if your district is Safe Dem, Likely Dem, Leans Dem, Toss Up, Leans GOP, Likely GOP, or Safe GOP.
I expect that bravado from Congressman John Larson. He is after all fourth in line to the President, sort of. And he is after all a big force in national Democrat politics. But could it be they are counting on dead people as one caller suggested? Read more
His sincerity isn’t just refreshing, it’s stunning. Hey man, you are running for office, what are you trying to do anyway, change the face of politics. Move over Basil Marceaux … there’s a new kid on the block. Read more