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	<title>Radio Vice Online &#187; Great Recession</title>
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	<link>http://radioviceonline.com</link>
	<description>The blog home of The Jim Vicevich Show</description>
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		<title>China sells $34 billion in US bonds in December</title>
		<link>http://radioviceonline.com/china-sells-34-billion-in-us-bonds-in-december/</link>
		<comments>http://radioviceonline.com/china-sells-34-billion-in-us-bonds-in-december/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 16 Feb 2010 18:35:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Steve M</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[china]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[deficit]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Great Recession]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Treasury]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://radioviceonline.com/?p=20860</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I&#8217;m no international banking financial guru, but this can not be a good sign. The flip side is that other countries &#8211; including Japan and the UK &#8211; seem to... <span class="meta-more"><a href="http://radioviceonline.com/china-sells-34-billion-in-us-bonds-in-december/">Read more &#187;</a></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;m no international banking financial guru, but this can not be a good sign. The flip side is that other countries &#8211; including Japan and the UK &#8211; seem to be buying, but at what price?</p>
<p style="text-align: left;"><span id="more-20860"></span>Hat tip to <a href="http://gatewaypundit.firstthings.com/2010/02/china-offloads-34-2-billion-in-treasuries-japan-now-largest-holder-of-us-debt/" target="_blank">Gateway Pundit</a>. Jim Hoft does not seem to sleep much &#8230; I need to sleep. Hoft points us to an article by Tyler Durden at <a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/article/move-over-china-beijing-sells-whopping-342-billion-treasuries-december-japan-becomes-largest" target="_blank">ZeroHedge</a>.</p>
<blockquote>
<p style="text-align: left;"><a href="http://radioviceonline.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/us-treasury-holders-201002.jpg" rel="lightbox[20860]" title="us-treasury-holders-201002"><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-20861" title="us-treasury-holders-201002" src="http://radioviceonline.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/us-treasury-holders-201002-300x171.jpg" alt="" width="300" height="171" /></a>Gradually we are getting confirmation that Chinese &#8220;posturing&#8221; about offloading US debt is all too real. The most recent TIC data confirmed the Treasury&#8217;s greatest nightmare: China is now dumping US bonds. In December China sold $34.2 billion of debt ($38.8 billion in Bills sold offset by $4.6 billion in Bonds purchased), lowering its total holdings $755.4 billion, the lowest since February 2009, <strong>and for the first time in many years relinquishing the top US debt holder spot to Japan,</strong> which bought $11.5 billion (mostly in Bonds, selling $1.4 billion Bills) bringing its total to $768.8 billion. Also, very oddly, the surge in UK holding continues, providing yet another clue as to the identity if the &#8220;direct bidder&#8221; &#8211; as we first assumed, these are merely UK centers transacting primarily on behalf of China as well as hedge funds, which are accumulating US debt under the radar. UK holdings increased from $230.7 billion to $302.5 billion in December: <strong>a stunning $70 billion increase in a two month span</strong>. Yet, with the identity of the UK-based buyers a secret, it really could be anyone&#8230; Anyone with very deep pockets.</p>
</blockquote>
<p style="text-align: left;">The chart that goes along with the story is interesting, since I have not seen it laid out that way before. Click on it to enlarge.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;"><a href="http://sweetness-light.com/archive/foreign-demand-for-treasury-notes-falls" target="_blank">Sweetness &amp; Light</a> also noted this <a href="http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5hvs4bqHvaxiS5Ii-VEjJFbdsz-MgD9DTB2S02" target="_blank">Associated Press story</a> earlier today, with my emphasis in bold.</p>
<blockquote><p>The government said Tuesday that foreign demand for U.S. Treasury securities fell by the largest amount on record in December with China reducing its holdings by $34.2 billion.</p>
<p>The reductions in holdings, if they continue, could force the government to make higher interest payments at a time that it is running record federal deficits.</p>
<p>The Treasury Department reported that foreign holdings of U.S. Treasury securities fell by $53 billion in December, surpassing the previous record of a $44.5 billion drop in April 2009.</p>
<p>The big drop in China&#8217;s holdings meant that it lost the top spot in terms of foreign ownership of U.S. Treasuries, dropping to second place behind Japan. &#8230;</p>
<p>The Obama administration on Feb. 1 released a new budget plan which projects that the deficit for this year will total a record $1.56 trillion, surpassing last year&#8217;s record of $1.4 trillion deficit. <strong>The trillion-dollar-plus deficit have been caused by a deep recession</strong>, which has reduced government tax receipts, and the massive spending that has been undertaken to jump-start the economy and stabilize the financial system.</p></blockquote>
<p style="text-align: left;">Uh, no. The deficit may have <em>partially</em> increased due to what AP now officially calls the <em>Great Recession</em>, but what about all of the spending? Like maybe <strong>$787 billion</strong> in pork?</p>
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		<title>Has AP officially designated current economy the Great Recession?</title>
		<link>http://radioviceonline.com/has-ap-officially-designated-current-economy-the-great-resession/</link>
		<comments>http://radioviceonline.com/has-ap-officially-designated-current-economy-the-great-resession/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 05 Oct 2009 13:14:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Steve M</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Great Recession]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[misery index]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://radioviceonline.com/?p=16543</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Just asking. When you capitalize a period of time like the Age of Discovery, the Industrial Revolution, the Space Age or the Great Depression, you mark it as an historical... <span class="meta-more"><a href="http://radioviceonline.com/has-ap-officially-designated-current-economy-the-great-resession/">Read more &#187;</a></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Just asking. When you capitalize a period of time like the Age of Discovery, the Industrial Revolution, the Space Age or the Great Depression, you mark it as an historical era. Rachel Beck, writing for the Associated Press, has capitalized her two references to the Great Recession.</p>
<p><span id="more-16543"></span><a href="http://apnews.myway.com/article/20091004/D9B4D6C01.html" target="_blank">Beck&#8217;s article</a> goes into the details about all of the great deals you can find during your weekly visits to the supermarket and Tiffany&#8217;s. She&#8217;s right that there has not been any inflation (none in eight months) during the economic slow-down, but in a historical perspective &#8211; let&#8217;s go back 200 years here in the United States &#8211; should Beck and the AP be referring to our economic times as the <strong>Great Recession</strong>?</p>
<blockquote><p>There has never been a better time to be a consumer. America is on sale.</p>
<p>The <strong>Great Recession</strong> has caused massive job losses and hardship for millions, but it has also fostered a shoppers&#8217; paradise. Anyone who still has the means to spend can find unheard of deals.</p></blockquote>
<p>So, if you had to identify a Great Recession in the United States during the last 200 years, what period would qualify and why? Spit out some statistics and your suggestions in the comments section.</p>
<p>I&#8217;m thinking <a href="http://www.miseryindex.us/" target="_blank">Misery Index</a>. Since we are currently in a period of deflation &#8211; prices dropped almost 1.5 percent in August &#8211; I&#8217;m not sure how you would properly calculate the Misery Index &#8211; hence my two figures in the graphic below. By the way, the Misery Index peaked in June of 1980 at <strong>just under 22 percent</strong>.</p>
<p><a href="http://radioviceonline.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/10/aug2009-misery-index.jpg" rel="lightbox[16543]" title="aug2009-misery-index"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-16545" title="aug2009-misery-index" src="http://radioviceonline.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/10/aug2009-misery-index.jpg" alt="aug2009-misery-index" width="500" height="330" /></a></p>
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