Could the GOP take the House in 2010 elections?

For the last few days, there has been quiet discussions concerning a shift in the U.S. House of Representatives, so significant that Republicans could take back control one year from now. Personally, I think it is a long shot, but I guessed wrong (Jim was correct) on Scott Brown’s win in Massachusetts.

The two Web sites with the information include the Cook Political Report (subscription required) and fivethirtyeight.com. Ed Morrissey provided analysis yesterday, and I’ve noticed fivethirtyeight.com has gotten a bit more into statistical analysis, which is kind of interesting if you are really into “inside baseball” stuff.

So what’s the trend? I’m not a big fan of the way writers at 538 present their information, so I generally do not read their stuff, but I did find this list in the Cook Report’s Web site kind of interesting. Take it for what it’s worth, it’s a LONG way to November.

These ratings are from the last 11 days or so, and note in every case – except for the Connecticut’s Senate, and Arizona’s 3rd seats – Democrats are loosing ground. Trend?

Hummm… Sean Trende at Real Clear Politics wonders if the Senate is also within reach for the GOP.

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Steve McGough

Steve's a part-time conservative blogger. Steve grew up in Connecticut and has lived in Washington, D.C. and the Bahamas. He resides in Connecticut, where he’s comfortable six months of the year.

7 Comments

  1. donh on January 26, 2010 at 10:30 am

    If all your talk is about  taking back power, you only look like he who wants to  hold  the cookie jar so YOU can be the one to stuff your  blood thirsty face  and give the little  people the finger. In that case I would rather keep the democrats in power so that this country is completely busted sooner  rather than later. If I let the same old SOB Bush family skull and bones network of new world order neocons come back in power with their  same old SCREW YOU  to he who voted for smaller government ….my suffering will only be protracted. No more fork tongued republicans with  cronies  in the military corporate   complexes cashing in on government spending, government jobs, and government bail outs . .  ….You want power ? What are YOU going to do to  outsource the  machine, cut waste , and fraud  and do you dare  swear promises with a hand on the bible?



    • Steve McGough on January 26, 2010 at 1:36 pm

      I strongly suggest you think really long and hard they next time you hit the submit button when you post comments to one of the threads here. If you've taken the time to read any of my posts with more than a quick glance, you know exactly where I stand when it comes to rolling back the power of the federal government.

      If you're one of those people who think everything can be turned back on a dime, I feel sorry for you. It took more than 65 years of incremental culture changes to get where we are today, and it may well take another 65 years to get turned back around.

      The first step may be to elect candidates like Sen.-elect Scott Brown who in your mind may not be a perfect candidate, but it's a step in the right direction to put even center-right candidates in Washington all-the-while holding their feet to the fire to move power from the federal government back to the states.

      Let's also remember the changes in the Executive Branch are important since the president can nominate SCOTUS justices, but minor compared to where it really counts … in Congress and the state legislatures across this great country … since they create the laws and pay the bills ya know?



    • donh on January 26, 2010 at 3:01 pm

      Bush/McCain had 8 years to turn that dime around but engaged in the same kind of brutal smack down your words express here toward the little guy like me. You can talk down to people who want less government and grow concerned over  the lack of credible plans to cut the  machine down to size if you want. That  manner is a proven failure. Just a little friendly advice. Lets see a little less drooling over the map and salivating over possible changes in public sentiment as  victory can escape you without credible policy statements for cutting spending.   Bankruptcy Now does force  the dime politicians refuse to turn  . 



    • donh on January 26, 2010 at 1:47 pm


    • Steve McGough on January 26, 2010 at 2:31 pm

      Oh, I get it … I'm a mindless drone. <rolleyes> I'm working to inform people and be reasonable, not exactly certain what your roll in all of this is.



  2. donh on January 26, 2010 at 3:47 pm

    The pink floyd video is the machine Scott brown is talking about and  not posted as some personal slap at steve.



  3. Steve McGough on January 26, 2010 at 3:59 pm

    @donh: You're delusional or refuse to actually read. Nowhere have I EVER written a post where I "talk down to people who want smaller government." Nor have I expressed any love for Bush/McCain in my posts. I started complaining about the Bush administration back when the steel tariffs went through.

    You have a serious issues with your translation of my post. For you to state I was "drooling over the map and salivating over possible changes in public sentiment…" is completely FALSE. I'm not going to ask you to read my post again since it's clear you did not read it in the first place. You've lost any credibility you had.



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